Day 1

Manifesto Novices Chase | Anniversary 4-Y-O Novices Hurdle | Aintree Bowl | Aintree Hurdle | Hunters Chase | Red Rum Handicap Chase | Nickel Coin Mares NH Flat Race

Recent Form and Trends

* The 2020 race was cancelled for health and safety reasons

Trends

Age – Race is for 4yo’s only
Price – 4 of the last 11 favourites have won, 7/11 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 5 of the last 11 winners won on their last run before the Anniversary 4-Y-O Novices Hurdle , 8/11 at least placed on their last run, 9/11 winners ran within the last 40 days
6/11 winners ran in the Triumph Hurdle (Cheltenham) on their last run, 2 of the 6 won, 3 placed
Previous Course Form – 1/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Aintree, 1/11 winners had at least 1 previous win at Aintree
Previous Distance Form – 9/11 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 10/11 had at least 1 previous win over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 10/11 winners had at least 3 runs over hurdles, 10/11 winners had at least 2 wins over hurdles,
Rating – 10/11 winners were rated 138 or higher
Graded Wins – 9/11 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 9/11 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 10/11 winners had at least 2 wins that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
2 of the last 11 winners won on their next run after the Anniversary 4-Y-O Novices Hurdle, 1/11 placed on their next run
2/11 winners ran in the Champion 4YO Hurdle (Punchestown) on their next run, 1 of the 2 won, 0 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
2 of the last 11 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
1/11 won at least 1 more race that season, 0/11 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Aintree Festival Run Next Season –
2/11 winners ran in the Aintree Hurdle at the next Aintree Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 1 placed