Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged either 5 or 6
Price – 9 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 10/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 10 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Challow Novices Hurdle, 11/12 winners ran within the last 50 days
5/12 winners ran in the Hyde Novices Hurdle (Cheltenham) on their last run, 3 of the 5 won, 1 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Winter Novices Hurdle (Sandown) on their last run, 2 of the 2 won
Previous Course Form – 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Newbury, 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Newbury
Previous Distance Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 19-21 furlongs, 12/12 had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 runs over hurdles, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win over hurdles, 9/12 winners had at least 2 wins over hurdles
Rating – 10/12 winners were rated 137 or higher
Grade 2 Wins – 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 2 race
Season Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
1 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Challow Novices Hurdle, 4/12 placed on their next run

Rest of The Season Runs –
12 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
2/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 6/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
7/12 winners ran in the Baring Bingham Novices Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 7 won, 3 placed
4/12 winners ran in the Spa Novices Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 4 won, 0 placed