Recent Form and Trends

* The 2021 race finished in a dead heat, trends include both horses
* The 2023 race was run at Sandown

Trends

Age – 9 of the last 13 winners were aged between 5 and 7
Price – 6 of the last 13 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 8/13 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 7 of the last 13 winners won on their last run before the Fighting Fifth Hurdle , 6/13 winners ran within the last 56 days
Previous Course Form – 6/13 winners had at least 1 previous run at Newcastle, 5/13 winners had at least 1 previous win at Newcastle
Previous Distance Form – 13/13 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 13/13 had at least 2 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 12/13 winners had at least 5 runs over hurdles, 9/13 winners had at least 4 wins over hurdles
Rating – 11/13 winners were rated 151 or higher
Grade 1 Wins – 8/13 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1 race, 11/13 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1 or 2 race
Season Form – 5/13 winners had at least 1 run that season, 3/13 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
4 of the last 13 winners won on their next run after the Fighting Fifth Hurdle, 4/13 placed on their next run
9/13 winners ran in the Christmas Hurdle (Kempton) on their next run, 4 of the 9 won, 2 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
12 of the last 13 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
5/13 won at least 1 more race that season, 8/13 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
10/13 winners ran in the Champion Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 10 won, 5 placed