Recent Form and Trends

* The 2016 & 2017 races were run at Chantilly

Trends

Age – 4 of the last 12 winners were aged 3, 8 of the last 12 winners were aged 4 or 5
Price – 4 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 7/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Stall – 8 of the last 12 winners came from stall 8 or below
Last Run – 8/12 winners won on their last run before the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe, 10/12 winners had their last run within the last 38 days
3/12 winners ran in the Prix Vermeille (Longchamp) on their last run, 1 of the 3 won, 1 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Irish Champion Stakes (Leopardstown) on their last run, 1 of the 3 won, 1 placed
Previous Course Form – 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Longchamp, 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Longchamp
Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 12 furlongs, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over 12 furlongs
Previous Flat Form – 10/12 winners had at least 7 previous flat runs, 12/12 winners had at least 4 previous flat wins
Group Wins – 11/12 winners had at least 1 win in a group 1 race, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win in a group 1-3 race
Season Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
3 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe, 3/12 placed on their next run
2/12 winners ran in the Breeders Cup Turf (Keeneland/Churchill Downs) on their next run, 1 of the 2 won, 1 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Japan Cup (Tokyo) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed

Rest of Season Runs –
5/12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season,
1 of the 12 winners won at least 1 more race that season, 2/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Next Arc Run –
5 of the last 12 winners ran in the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe again the following season, 2 of the 5 won, 2 placed