Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 9 of the last 11 winners were aged between 8 and 10
Price – 7 of the last 11 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 10/11 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 3 of the last 11 winners won on their last run before the Metal Man Chase , 6/11 winners ran within the last 49 days
Previous Course Form – 5/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Tramore, 4/11 winners had at least 1 previous win at Tramore
Previous Distance Form – 8/11 winners had at least 5 previous runs over 21-23 furlongs, 10/11 had at least 1 previous win over 21-23 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 8/11 winners had at least 6 previous chase runs, 10/11 winners had at least 2 previous chase wins
Rating – 10/11 winners were rated 148 or higher
Graded Wins – 8/11 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 6/11 winners had at least 1 run that season, 2/11 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
6 of the last 11 winners won on their next run after the Metal Man Chase, 2/11 placed on their next run
2/11 winners ran in the Kinloch Brae Chase (Thurles) on their next run, 1 of the 2 won, 1 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
10 of the last 11 winners ran in at least more race that season
6/11 won at least 1 more race that season, 5/11 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
7/11 winners ran in the Gold Cup at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 7 won, 1 placed