Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 2 of the last 12 winners was favourites/joint favourites, 9/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 5 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Michael Purcell Novice Hurdle, 11/12 winners ran within the last 46 days
Previous Course Form – 3/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Thurles, 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Thurles
Previous Distance Form – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 19-21 furlongs, 4/12 had at least 1 previous wins over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over hurdles, 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over hurdles
Rating – 6/12 winners were rated 132 or higher (6/12 didn’t have a hurdle rating)
Graded Wins – 1/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
3 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Michael Purcell Novice Hurdle, 2/12 placed on their next run
3/12 winners ran in the Festival Novice Hurdle (Fairyhouse) on their next run, 1 of the 3 won, 2 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
11 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
3/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 3/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
3/12 winners ran in the Martin Pipe Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 3 won, 0 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Coral Cup at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed