Recent Form and Trends
* The 2020 race was cancelled for health and safety reasons
Trends
Age – 10 of the last 11 winners were aged 6 or 7
Price – 8 of the last 11 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 10/11 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 8 of the last 11 winners won on their last run before the Barberstown Castle Novice Chase, 9/11 winners ran within the last 53 days
5/11 winners ran in the Arkle Novice Chase (Cheltenham) on their last run, 3 of the 5 won, 1 placed
Previous Course Form – 6/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Punchestown, 4/11 winners had at least 1 previous win at Punchestown
Previous Distance Form – 10/11 winners had at least 5 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 10/11 had at least 2 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 10/11 winners had at least 3 previous chase runs, 10/11 winners had at least 1 previous chase win, 9/11 winners had at least 3 previous chase wins
Rating – 9/11 winners were rated 153 or higher
Graded Wins – 8/11 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 10/11 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 11/11 winners had at least 1 win that season, 9/11 winners had at least 2 wins that season
Future Form
Trends
Next Run –
7 of the last 11 winners won on their next run after the Barberstown Castle Novice Chase, 1/12 placed on their next run
3/11 winners ran in the Hilly Way Chase (Cork) on their next run, 3 of the 3 won, 0 placed
2/11 winners ran in the Paddy Power Chase (Leopardstown) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won, 1 placed
2/11 winners ran in the Clonmel Oil Chase (Clonmel) on their next run, 2 of the 2 won, 0 placed
Rest of The Season Runs –
0 of the last 11 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
0/11 won at least 1 more race that season, 0/11 placed in at least 1 more race that season
Cheltenham Festival Run Next Season –
4/11 winners ran in the Queen Mother Champion Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 4 won, 1 placed
2/11 winners ran in the Ryanair Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed