Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged 7 or older
Price – 4 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 7/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 5 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Paddy Power Chase , 12/12 winners ran within the last 55 days
3/12 winners ran in the Hilly Way Chase (Cork) on their last run, 2 of the 3 won, 0 placed
Previous Course Form – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Leopardstown, 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Leopardstown
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 6 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 10/12 had at least 5 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 12/12 winners had at least 6 previous chase runs, 11/12 winners had at least 3 previous chase wins
Rating – 12/12 winners were rated 150 or higher
Graded Wins – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 7/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
3 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Old Roan Chase, 4/12 placed on their next run
4/12 winners ran in the Tied Cottage Chase (Punchestown) on their next run, 2 of the 4 won, 1 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Dublin Chase (Leopardstown) on their next run, 1 of the 3 won, 1 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
11 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
4/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 7/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
5/12 winners ran in the Queen Mother Champion Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 5 won, 3 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Ryanair Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 3 won, 1 placed