December Novices Chase

Grade – 2
Course – Doncaster
Race Type – Chase
Distance – 3 Miles (24F)
Ages – 4yo’s +
Sponsor – Bet365

Grade 2

Recent Form and Trends

* 2008 , 2010 & 2011 runnings were all abandoned due to adverse weather

Trends

Age – 7 of the last 9 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 5 of the last 9 favourites have won, 9/9 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 4 of the last 9 winners won on their last run before the December Novices Chase , 8/9 winners ran within the last 26 days
Previous Course Form – 1/9 winners had at least 1 previous run at Doncaster, 1/9 winners had at least 1 previous win at Doncaster
Previous Distance Form – 8/9 winners had at least 1 previous run over 23-25 furlongs, 3/9 had at least 1 previous win over 23-25 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 8/9 winners had at least 2 previous chase runs, 7/9 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Rating – 7/9 winners were rated 138 or higher
Graded Wins – 1/9 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 9/9 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 7/9 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run – 2 of the last 9 winners won on their next run after the December Novices Chase, 2/9 placed on their next run
3/9 winners ran in the Kauto Star Novices Chase (Kempton) on their next run, 0 of the 3 won, 1 placed
Cheltenham Festival Run That Season – 3/8 winners ran in the RSA Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 3 won, 1 placed
2/8 winners ran in the National Hunt Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed