Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 7
Price – 4 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 12/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 10 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Hampton Novices Chase, 11/12 winners ran within the last 49 days
Previous Course Form – 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Warwick, 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Warwick
Previous Distance Form – 12/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 23-25 furlongs, 11/12 had at least 1 previous win over 23-25 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase run, 8/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase run, 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Rating – 11/12 winners were rated 137 or higher
Graded Wins – 5/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
3 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Hampton Novices Chase, 3/12 placed on their next run
3/12 winners ran in the Reynoldstown Novice Chase (Ascot) on their next run, 1 of the 3 won, 2 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
12 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
4/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 3/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
4/12 winners ran in the National Hunt Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 4 won, 2 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Brown Advisory Novices Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 3 won, 0 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Turners Novices Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 2 won, 0 placed