Marsh Novices Chase (Golden Miller Novices Chase)

Grade – 1
Course – Cheltenham (New Course)
Race Type – Chase
Distance – 2 Miles 4 Furlongs (20 Furlongs)
Ages – 5yo+
Weights – 11st 3lb (5yo), 11st 4lb (6yo+), 7lb allowance for mares
Sponsor – Marsh

Grade 1

Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 11 winners were aged 6 or 7
Price – 4 of the last 11 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 9/11 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 8 of the last 11 winners won on their last run before the Marsh Novices Chase, 9/11 winners ran in the last 54 days
Previous Course Form – 11/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 7/11 had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
Previous Distance Form – 10/11 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 9/11 had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 11/10 winners had at least 3 runs over hurdles, 8/11 winners had at least 3 wins over hurdles
Previous Chase Form – 10/11 winners had at least 3 previous chase runs, 9/11 winners had at least 2 previous chase wins
Rating – 10/11 winners were rated 146 or higher
Graded Wins – 8/11 winners had at least 1 win in a grade 1 or 2 race
Season Form – 11/11 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 9/11 winners had at least 2 wins that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run
3 of the last 11 winners won on their next run after Cheltenham, 3/11 placed on their next run
2/11 winners ran in the Gold Cup Chase (Fairyhouse) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won, 2 placed
2/11 winners ran in the Ryanair Novice Chase (Punchestown) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won, 1 placed

Rest of The Season Runs
7 of the last 11 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
2/11 won at least 1 more race that season, 3/11 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Next Cheltenham Festival Run
5/11 winners ran in the Ryanair Chase in their next Cheltenham Festival run, 1 of the 5 won, 0 placed
2/11 winners ran in the Gold Cup at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 1 placed