Manifesto Novices Chase

Grade – 1 (Since 2012, previously Grade 2)
Course – Aintree
Race Type – Chase
Distance – 2 Miles 4 Furlongs (20F)
Ages – 5yo+
Weights – 11st 4lbs (7lb allowance for mares)
Sponsor – Devenish

Grade 1

Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 11 winners were aged 6-8
Price – 1 of the last 11 favourites have won, 11/11 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 0 of the last 11 winners won on their last run before Aintree, 10/11 winners ran within the last 30 days
5/11 ran in the Arkle Novice Chase (Cheltenham) on their last run, 0 of the 5 won, 0 placed
5/11 ran in the JLT Novice Chase (Cheltenham) on their last run, 0 of the 5 won, 2 placed
Previous Course Form – 7/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Aintree , 1/11 winners had a previous win at Aintree
Previous Distance Form – 8/11 winners had at least 1 previous run over 20/21 furlongs, 5/11 had at least 1 previous win over 20/21 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 10/11 winners had at least 4 runs over hurdles, 10/11 winners had at least 2 wins over hurdles
Previous Chase Form – 10/11 winners had at least 4 chase runs, 10/11 winners had at least 2 previous chase wins
Rating – 8/11 winners were rated 151 or higher
Graded Wins – 8/11 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 9/11 winners had at least 4 runs that season, 10/11 winners had at least 2 wins that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run – 1 of the last 11 winners won on their next run after Aintree, 1/11 placed on their next run
2/9 winners ran in the Old Roan Chase (Aintree) next time out, 0 won, 0 placed
Next Aintree Festival Run – 6/9 winners ran at the next Aintree Festival, 0 of the 6 won, 2 placed
4/6 ran in the Melling Chase at the next Aintree Festival, 0 of the 4 won, 1 placed