Melling Chase

Grade – 1
Course – Aintree
Race Type – Chase
Distance – 2 Miles 4 Furlongs (20F)
Ages – 5yo’s +
Weights – 11st 0lbs (7lbs allowance for mares)
Sponsor – JLT

Grade 1

Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 8 of the last 12 winners were aged either 8 or 9
Price – 5 of the last 12 favourites/joint favourites have won, 9/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 3 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Melling Chase, 12/12 winners ran within the last 30 days
8/12 winners ran in the Queen Mother Champion Chase (Cheltenham) on their last run, 2 of the 8 won, 2 placed
4/12 winners ran in the Ryanair Chase (Cheltenham) on their last run, 1 of the 4 won, 2 placed
Previous Course Form – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Aintree, 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Aintree
Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 19-21 furlongs, 7/12 had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 11/12 winners had at least 8 previous chase runs, 12/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase wins, 10/12 winners had at least 5 previous chase wins
Rating – 11/12 winners were rated 161 or higher
Grade 1 Wins – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1 race, 9/12 winners had at least 2 wins in a grade 1 race
Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run – 6 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Melling Chase, 2/12 placed on their next run
3/12 winners ran in the Old Roan Chase (Aintree) on their next run, 0 of the 3 won, 0 placed
4/12 winners ran in the Champion Chase (Punchestown) on their next run, 3 of the 4 won, 1 placed
3/12 winners ran in the 1965 Chase (Ascot) on their next run, 1 of the 3 won, 1 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Gold Cup (Punchestown) on their next run, 2 of the 2 won, 0 placed
Aintree Festival Run Next Season – 5/12 winners ran in the Melling Chase at the next Aintree Festival, 1 of the 5 won, 2 placed