Maghull Novices Chase

Grade – 1
Course – Aintree
Race Type – Chase
Distance – 2 Miles (16F)
Ages – 5yo’s +
Weights – 11st 4lbs (7lbs allowance for mares)
Sponsor – Doom Bar

Grade 1

Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 12 of the last 12 winners were aged between 6 and 8
Price – 5 of the last 12 favourites/joint favourites have won, 11/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 6 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Maghull Novices Chase , 11/12 winners ran within the last 42 days
6/12 winners ran in the Arkle Chase (Cheltenham) on their last run, 3 of the 6 won, 2 placed
Previous Course Form – 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Aintree, 1/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Aintree
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 5 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 10/12 had at least 3 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 12/12 winners had at least 3 previous chase runs, 10/12 winners had at least 4 previous chase runs, 10/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase wins
Rating – 10/12 winners were rated 144 or higher
Graded Wins – 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 10/12 winners had at least 2 wins that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run – 4 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Maghull Novices Chase, 4/12 placed on their next run
4/12 winners ran in the Ryanair Novice Chase (Punchestown) on their next run, 1 of the 4 won, 2 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Celebration Chase (Sandown) on their next run, 0 of the 3 won, 1 placed
Aintree Festival Run Next Season – 5/12 winners ran in the Melling at the next Aintree Festival, 2 of the 5 won, 0 placed