Recent Form and Trends

* The 2020 race was cancelled for health and safety reasons

Trends

Age – 11 of the last 11 winners were aged between 6 and 8
Price – 5 of the last 11 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 10/11 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 6 of the last 11 winners won on their last run before the Maghull Novices Chase, 11/11 winners ran within the last 42 days
5/11 winners ran in the Arkle Chase (Cheltenham) on their last run, 2 of the 5 won, 2 placed
Previous Course Form – 5/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Aintree, 1/11 winners had at least 1 previous win at Aintree
Previous Distance Form – 10/11 winners had at least 6 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 9/11 had at least 3 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 11/11 winners had at least 3 previous chase runs, 10/11 winners had at least 4 previous chase runs, 9/11 winners had at least 2 previous chase wins
Rating – 9/11 winners were rated 145 or higher
Graded Wins – 8/11 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 11/11 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 9/11 winners had at least 2 wins that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
4 of the last 11 winners won on their next run after the Maghull Novices Chase, 3/11 placed on their next run
4/11 winners ran in the Ryanair Novice Chase (Punchestown) on their next run, 1 of the 4 won, 2 placed
3/11 winners ran in the Celebration Chase (Sandown) on their next run, 1 of the 3 won, 0 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
7 of the last 11 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
2/11 won at least 1 more race that season, 2/11 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Aintree Festival Run Next Season –
2/11 winners ran in the Melling Chase at the next Aintree Festival, 1 of the 2 won, 0 placed