Recent Form and Trends

* The 2020 race was cancelled for health and safety reasons

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 11 winners were aged either 5 or 6
Price – 7 of the last 11 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 9/11 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 6 of the last 11 winners won on their last run before the Mersey Novices Hurdle, 10/11 winners ran within the last 35 days
5/11 winners ran in the Gallagher Novices Hurdle (Cheltenham) on their last run, 1 of the 5 won, 3 placed
Previous Course Form – 1/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Aintree, 0/11 winners had at least 1 previous win at Aintree
Previous Distance Form – 9/11 winners had at least 1 previous run over 19-21 furlongs, 5/11 had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 11/11 winners had at least 3 runs over hurdles, 10/11 winners had at least 1 win over hurdles, 8/11 winners had at least 2 wins over hurdles
Rating – 8/11 winners were rated 148 or higher
Graded Wins – 7/11 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 11/11 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 10/11 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
4 of the last 11 winners won on their next run after the Mersey Novices Hurdle, 2/11 placed on their next run
7/11 winners ran in the Champion Novices Hurdle (Punchestown) on their next run, 2 of the 7 won, 2 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
7 of the last 11 winners ran in at least 1 more races that season
2/11 won at least 1 more race that season, 2/11 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Aintree Festival Run Next Season –
3/11 winners ran again at the next Aintree Festival, 1 of the 3 won, 0 placed