Mersey Novices Hurdle

Grade – 1
Course – Aintree
Race Type – Hurdle
Distance – 2 Miles 4 Furlongs (20F)
Ages – 4yo’s +
Sponsor – Betway

Grade 1

Recent Form and Trends

* 2020 race was cancelled for health and safety reasons

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 11 winners were aged either 5 or 6
Price – 7 of the last 11 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 9/11 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 6 of the last 11 winners won on their last run before the Mersey Novices Hurdle, 10/11 winners ran within the last 35 days
6/11 winners ran in the Ballymore Novices Hurdle (Cheltenham) on their last run, 2 of the 6 won, 3 placed
Previous Course Form – 1/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Aintree, 0/11 winners had at least 1 previous win at Aintree
Previous Distance Form – 8/11 winners had at least 1 previous run over 19-21 furlongs, 5/11 had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 11/11 winners had at least 3 runs over hurdles, 10/11 winners had at least 1 win over hurdles, 7/11 winners had at least 3 wins over hurdles
Rating – 9/11 winners were rated 148 or higher
Graded Wins – 6/11 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 11/11 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 10/11 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run
4 of the last 11 winners won on their next run after the Mersey Novices Hurdle, 2/11 placed on their next run
6/11 winners ran in the Champion Novices Hurdle (Punchestown) on their next run, 2 of the 6 won, 2 placed

Rest of The Season Runs
6 of the last 11 winners ran in at least 1 more races that season
2/11 won at least 1 more race that season, 2/11 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Aintree Festival Run Next Season
4/11 winners ran again at the next Aintree Festival, 1 of the 4 won, 0 placed