AINTREE FESTIVAL

Grand National

Grade – Premier Handicap
Course – Aintree
Race Type – Handicap Steeplechase
Distance – 4 Miles 2 1/2 Furlongs (34.5F)
Ages – 7yo +
Weights – Handicap (Max weight 11st 12lbs)
Sponsor – Randox

Prem H’Cap

Grand National

Grade – Premier Handicap
Course – Aintree
Race Type – Handicap Steeplechase
Distance – 4 Miles 2 1/2 Furlongs (34.5F)
Ages – 7yo +
Weights – Handicap (Max weight 11st 12lbs)
Sponsor – Randox

Prem H’Cap

Recent Form and Trends

* The 2020 race was cancelled for health and safety reasons *

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 11 winners were aged between 7 and 9
Price – 3 of the last 11 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 4/11 winners were in the top 3 in the betting, 7/11 winners were priced 11/1 or bigger
Trainer – 7 of the last 11 winners were trained in Ireland, 4/11 winners were trained in the UK
Last Run – 6/11 winners won on their last run before the Grand National, 2/11 placed on their last run, 9/11 winners had their last run within the last 49 days
6/11 winners ran at the Cheltenham Festival on their last run (2 in the Cross Country Chase, 2 in the Trophy Handicap Chase, 1 in the Pertemps Final, 1 in the Gold Cup)
2/11 winners ran in the Bobbyjo Chase (Fairyhouse) on their last run, 2 of the 2 won that race
Weights – 9/11 winners carried between 10st 5lbs and 11st 8lbs
Previous Course Form – 6/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Aintree, 2/11 winners had at least 1 previous win at Aintree
Previous Grand National Run – 10/11 winners had not run in a previous Grand National
Previous Distance Form – 10/11 winners had at least 5 runs over 3 miles or longer, 8/11 winners had at least 7 runs over 3 miles or longer, 8/11 had at least 2 wins over 3 miles or longer, 5/11 had at least 3 wins over 3 miles or longer
Previous Hurdle Form – 9/11 winners had at least 3 runs over hurdles, 8/11 had at least 2 wins over hurdles
Previous Chase Form – 11/11 winners had at least 7 previous chase runs, 10/11 winners had at least 8 previous chase runs, 9/11 had at least 2 previous chase wins, 8/11 had at least 3 previous chase wins
Rating – 9/11 winners were rated between 146 and 160
Graded Wins – 8/11 winners had at least 1 previous win in grade 1-3 races
Season Form – 11/11 had at least 3 previous runs that season, 9/11 winners had no more than 6 runs that season, 10/11 had at least 1 previous win that season

Runners

A list of this year’s potential runners and the horses that meet the most of the 18 strong trends, a higher trend score is awarded for meeting the strongest trends. Please note, this list of runners is subject to change and will be updated at the 48 hour declaration stage, once the final field is known.

Note: This trends list highlights horses with the typical profile of a winner for this race and can be used as a guide to potential contenders. However, keep in mind that past performance is no guarantee, and every trend is subject to being broken.

Future Form

Trends

Next Run
0/11 winners won on their next run after the Grand National, 0/11 placed on their next run

Rest of The Season Runs
1 of the last 11 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
0/11 won at least 1 more race that season, 0/11 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Next Grand National Run
8 of the last 11 winners ran in the following seasons Grand National, 1 of those 8 won, 2/8 came in the top 3, 4/8 finished in the top 10.