Supreme Novices Hurdle

Grade – 1
Course – Cheltenham (Old Course)
Race Type – Hurdle
Distance – 2 Miles 1/2 Furlong (16.5F)
Ages – 4yo +
Weights – 10st 13lb (4yo), 11st 7lb (5yo+), 7lb allowance for fillies and mares
Sponsor – Skybet

Grade 1

Recent Form and Trends

Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 2 of the last 12 favourites/joint favourites have won, 7/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 10 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before Cheltenham , 9/12 winners ran within the last 59 days
3/12 winners ran in the Chanelle Pharma Novice Hurdle (Leopardstown) on their last run, 3 of the 3 won
Previous Course Form – 5/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham , 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 12/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 11/12 winners had at least 4 runs over hurdles, 11/12 winners had at least 2 wins over hurdles
Rating – 11/12 winners were rated 142 or higher
Graded Wins – 10/12 winners had at least previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 9/12 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 11/12 winners had at least 2 wins that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run – 5 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Supreme Novices Hurdle, 2/12 placed on their next run
6/12 winners ran in the Champion Novice Chase (Punchestown) on their next run, 3 of the 6 won, 0 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Top Novices Hurdle (Aintree) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won
2/12 winners ran in the Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Newcastle) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won, 1 placed
Next Cheltenham Festival Run
4 of the last 12 winners ran in the Arkle Chase at the next Cheltenham festival, 2 of the 4 won, 1 placed
3/12 winners ran in Champion Hurdle at the next Cheltenham festival, 0 of the 3 won, 0 placed
1/12 winners ran in the JLT Novice Chase at the next Cheltenham festival, and it won!