Formby Novices Hurdle (Formerly Tolworth Hurdle)

Grade – 1
Course – Aintree
Race Type – Hurdle
Distance – 2 Miles (16F)
Ages – 4yo’s +
Weights – 10st 9lbs (4yo), 11st 7lbs (5yo’s+) (7lbs allowance for filles & mares)
Sponsor – William Hill

Grade 1

Recent Form and Trends

* In 2023 this race was moved from Sandown to Aintree and renamed the Formby Novices Hurdle

Trends

Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged either 5 or 6
Price – 6 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 9/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 11 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Formby Novices Hurdle , 9/12 winners ran within the last 35 days
Previous Course Form – 3/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Sandown/Aintree, 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Sandown/Aintree
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 15-17 furlongs, 7/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 10/12 had at least 1 previous win over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 8/12 winners had at least 2 runs over hurdles, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win over hurdles
Rating – 8/12 winners were rated 134 or higher
Graded Wins – 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
5 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Formby Novices Hurdle, 0/12 placed on their next run

Rest of The Season Runs –
10 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
5/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 2/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
6/12 winners ran in the Supreme Novices Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 6 won, 0 placed
1/12 winners ran in the Ballymore Novices Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 1 won, 0 placed