Recent Form and Trends
* The 2020 race was cancelled for health and safety reasons
Trends
Age – 8 of the last 11 winners were aged 6 or 7
Price – 1 of the last 11 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 6/11 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 5 of the last 11 winners won on their last run before the Gold Cup Novice Chase , 10/11 winners ran within the last 49 days
Previous Course Form – 6/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Fairyhouse, 3/11 winners had at least 1 previous win at Fairyhouse
Previous Distance Form – 9/11 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 10/11 had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs, 7/11 winners had at least 2 previous wins over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 10/11 winners had at least 5 previous runs over hurdles, 8/11 winners had at least 2 previous wins over hurdles
Previous Chase Form – 11/11 winners had at least 3 previous chase runs, 11/11 winners had at least 1 previous chase win, 7/11 winners had at least 2 previous chase wins
Rating – 9/11 winners were rated 148 or higher
Graded Wins – 8/11 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 9/11 winners had at least 4 runs that season, 8/11 winners had at least 2 wins that season
Future Form
Trends
Next Run –
5 of the last 11 winners won on their next run after the Gold Cup Novice Chase, 1/11 placed on their next run
3/11 winners ran in the Ryanair Novice Chase (Punchestown) on their next run, 0 of the 3 won, 1 placed
2/11 winners ran in the John Durkan Chase (Punchestown) on their next run, 1 of the 2 won, 0 placed
Rest of The Season Runs –
4 of the last 11 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
0/11 won at least 1 more race that season, 1/11 placed in at least 1 more race that season
Cheltenham Festival Run Next Season –
3/11 winners ran in the Gold Cup at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 3 won, 0 placed
2/11 winners ran in the Ryanair Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 1 placed