Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged 6 or 7
Price – 4 of the last 12 winners favourites/joint favourites, 12/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 5 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Racecourse Business Club Novice Chase, 9/12 winners ran within the last 47 days
3/12 winners ran in the Neville Hotels Novice Chase (Leopardstown) on their last run, 0 of the 3 won, 0 placed
Previous Course Form – 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous runs at Naas, 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Naas
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous runs over 23-25 furlongs, 8/12 had at least 1 previous win over 23-25 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 8/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase runs, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Rating – 4/12 winners were rated 138 or higher (8/12 didn’t have a chase rating yet)
Graded Wins – 3/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 8/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
3 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Racecourse Business Club Novice Chase, 2/12 placed on their next run8
4/12 winners ran in the Ten Up Novice Chase (Navan) on their next run, 1 of the 4 won, 1 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
8 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
3/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 4/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
6/12 winners ran in the National Hunt Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 6 won, 2 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Brown Advisory Novices Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 3 won, 1 placed