Recent Form and Trends
Trends
Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 7 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 11/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 9 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Fort Leney Novice Chase , 10/12 winners ran with in the last 38 days
5/12 winners ran in the Drinmore Novice Chase (Fairyhouse) on their last run, 2 of the 5 won, 3 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Florida Pearl Novice Chase (Punchestown) on their last run, 3 of the 3 won
Previous Course Form – 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous runs at Leopardstown, 3/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Leopardstown
Previous Distance Form – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous runs over 23-25 furlongs, 8/12 had at least 1 previous wins over 23-25 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over hurdles, 10/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over hurdles
Previous Chase Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase runs, 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Rating – 7/12 winners were rated 138 or higher (5/12 didn’t have a chase rating yet)
Graded Wins – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 8/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 10/12 winners had at least 1 win that season
Future Form
Trends
Next Run –
5 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Fort Leney Novice Chase, 2/12 placed on their next run
7/12 winners ran in the Flogas Novice Chase (Leopardstown) on their next run, 2 of the 7 won, 1 placed
Rest of The Season Runs –
10 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
9/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 6/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season
Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
6/12 winners ran in the Brown Advisory Novice Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 6 won, 1 placed
2/12 winners ran in the National Hunt Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 2 won, 0 placed
1/12 winners ran in the Marsh Novice Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 1 won