Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 8 of the last 12 winners were aged 7 or 8
Price – 8 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 12/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 9 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Flogas Novice Chase , 10/12 winners ran within the last 55 days
Previous Course Form – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Leopardstown, 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Leopardstown
4/12 winners ran in the Fort Leney Novice Chase (Leopardstown) on their last run, 1 of the 4 won, 2 placed
Previous Distance Form – 8/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 10/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 11/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over hurdles, 10/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over hurdles
Previous Chase Form – 10/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase runs, 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win, 5/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase wins
Rating – 8/12 winners were rated 148 or higher
Graded Wins – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
2 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Flogas Novice Chase, 5/12 placed on their next run

Rest of The Season Runs –
9 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
4/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 8/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
6/12 winners ran in the Turners Novices Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 6 won, 3 placed
4/12 winners ran in the Brown Advisory Novices Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 4 won, 0 placed