Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – Race is for 3yo’s only
Price – 4 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 9/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 6/12 winners won on their last run before the Derby Trial, 7/12 winners finished in the top 3 on their last run, 9/12 winners had their last run within the last 91 days
Previous Course Form – 0/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Lingfield, 0/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Lingfield
Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 10-12 furlongs, 5/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over 10-12 furlongs
Previous Flat Form – 12/12 winners had at least 2 previous flat runs, 9/12 winners had at least 3 previous flat runs, 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous flat win
Rating – 9/12 winners were rated 87 or higher
Group Wins – 2/12 winners had at least 1 win in a group 1-3 race
Season Form – 9/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 4/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
1 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Lingfield Derby Trial, 2/12 placed on their next run
9/12 winners ran in the Derby (Epsom) on their next run, 1 of the 9 won, 1 placed

Rest of Season Runs –
11/12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season,
4 of the 12 winners won at least 1 more race that season, 5/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Irish Derby Run –
5 of the last 12 winners ran in the Irish Derby (Curragh) that season, 0 of the 5 won, 2 placed