Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged between 4 and 6
Price – 1 of the 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 3/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 1/12 winners won on their last run before the John Smith’s Cup, 9/12 winners had their last run within the last 34 days
Previous Course Form – 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at York, 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at York
Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 3 previous run over 10-11 furlongs, 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over 10-11 furlongs
Previous Flat Form – 11/12 winners had at least 6 previous flat runs, 10/12 winners had at least 7 previous flat runs, 11/12 winners had at least 2 previous flat wins
Rating – 11/12 winners had a rating of between 95 and 106
Group Wins – 1/12 winners had at least 1 win in a group 1-3 race
Season Form – 8/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 5/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Runners

A list of this year’s runners and the horses that meet the most of the 10 strong trends, a higher trend score is awarded for meeting the strongest trends. The list of runners will be updated at the 48 hour declaration stage, once the final field is known.

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
3 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the John Smith’s Cup, 3/12 placed on their next run
3/12 winners ran in the Chesterfield Cup Handicap (Goodwood) on their next run, 0 of the 3 won, 2 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Strensall Stakes (York) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Rose Of Lancaster Stakes (Haydock) on their next run, 1 of the 2 won, 1 placed

Rest of Season Runs –
11/12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season,
3/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 7/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Next John Smith’s Cup Run –
1/12 winners ran in the John Smith’s Cup again the following season, 0 of the 1 won, 0 placed