Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged 4 or 5
Price – 5 of the 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 9/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 4/12 winners won on their last run before the Saval Beg Stakes, 9/12 winners had their last run within the last 83 days
6/12 winners ran in the Vintage Crop Stakes (Navan) on their last run, 2 of the 6 won, 1 placed
Previous Course Form – 8 of the last 12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Leopardstown, 4/12 had at least 1 previous win at Leopardstown
Previous Distance Form – 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 14 furlongs, 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over 14 furlongs
Previous Flat Form – 10/12 winners had at least 8 previous flat runs, 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous flat win, 11/12 winners had at least 2 previous flat wins
Rating – 9/12 winners had a rating of 104 or higher
Group Wins – 3/12 winners had at least 1 win in a group 1-3 race
Season Form – 9/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 3/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
4 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Saval Beg Stakes, 4/12 placed on their next run
7/12 winners ran in the Gold Cup (Ascot) on their next run, 2 of the 7 won, 3 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Curragh Cup (Curragh) on their next run, 2 of the 7 won, 3 placed

Rest of Season Runs –
10/12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season,
7/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 6/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Irish St Leger Run –
8/12 winners ran in the Irish St Leger (Curragh) that season, 2 of the 8 won, 1 placed