Recent Form and Trends

* The 2017, 2023 and 2024 races were run at Cheltenham (Previous course form is for Ascot)

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged between 7 & 9
Price – 8 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint-favourites, 9/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 10 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Clarence House Chase, 11/12 winners ran within the last 49 days
5/12 winners ran in the Desert Orchid Chase (Kempton) on their last run, 4 of the 5 won, 0 placed
4/12 winners ran in the Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown) on their last run, 4 of the 4 won
Previous Course Form – 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Ascot, 5/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Ascot
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 10 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 9/12 had at least 8 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 12/12 winners had at least 6 previous chase runs, 12/12 winners had at least 4 previous chase wins, 10/12 winners had at least 5 previous chase wins
Rating – 9/12 winners were rated 160 or higher
Grade 1 Wins – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1 race, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 8/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
5 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Clarence House Chase, 2/12 placed on their next run

Rest of The Season Runs –
9 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
6/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 3/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
10/12 winners ran in the Queen Mother Champion Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 4 of the 10 won, 1 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Ryanair Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 2 won, 1 placed