Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 6 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 9/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 11 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Down Royal Mares Novice Hurdle, 10/12 winners ran within the last 35 days
Previous Course Form – 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Down Royal, 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Down Royal
Previous Distance Form – 10/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 8/12 had at least 1 previous win over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over hurdles, 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over hurdles, 5/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over hurdles
Rating – 4/12 winners were rated 117 or higher (8/12 didn’t have a rating yet)
Graded Wins – 0/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
4 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Down Royal Mares Novice Hurdle, 3/12 placed on their next run
4/12 winners ran in the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle (Fairyhouse) on their next run, 1 of the 4 won, 0 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
10 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
3/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 5/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
5/12 winners ran in the Mares Novice Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 5 won, 1 placed