Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged between 5 and 7
Price – 5 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 11/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 9 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Faugheen Novice Chase , 10/12 winners ran within the last 47 days
Previous Course Form – 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous runs at Limerick, 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Limerick
Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 11/12 had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs, 7/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 11/12 winners had at least 4 previous runs over hurdles, 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over hurdles
Previous Chase Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase run, 3/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase runs, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Rating – 2/12 winners were rated 130 or higher (10/12 didn’t have a chase rating yet)
Graded Wins – 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
5 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Faugheen Novice Chase, 1/12 placed on their next run
6/12 winners ran in the Flogas Novice Chase (Leopardstown) on their next run, 2 of the 6 won, 1 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
9 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 3 more races that season
7/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 7/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
4/12 winners ran in the Marsh Novices Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 4 won, 1 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Brown Advisory Novices Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 3 won, 2 placed