Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged between 4 and 6
Price – 4 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 8/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 2 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Gerry Fielden Hurdle, 6/12 winners ran 205 days or longer ago
Previous Course Form – 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Newbury, 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Newbury
Previous Distance Form – 10/12 winners had at least 4 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 10/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 11/12 winners had at least 4 previous runs over hurdles, 10/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over hurdles
Rating – 10/12 winners were rated 132 or higher
Graded Wins – 3/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 7/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 3/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
3 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Gerry Fielden Hurdle, 4/12 placed on their next run
4/12 winners ran in the Christmas Hurdle (Kempton) on their next run, 1 of the 4 won, 1 placed
4/12 winners ran in the Betfair Exchange Handicap Hurdle (Ascot) on their next run, 1 of the 4 won, 1 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
10 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 3 more races that season
5/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 7/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
3/12 winners ran in the Champion Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 3 won, 0 placed
2/12 winners ran in the County Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 1 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Coral Cup at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 1 placed