Kinloch Brae Chase

Grade – 2
Course – Thurles
Race Type – Steeplechase
Distance – 2 Miles 4 1/2 Furlongs (20.5F)
Ages – 6yo’s +
Weights – 11st 3lbs (7lbs allowance for mares)
Penalties – 7lbs for a Grade 1 win, 5lbs for 2 Grade 3 or 1 Grade 2 win, 3lbs for 3 chase or 1 Grade 3 win (Since 1st July)
Sponsor – Horse & Jockey Hotel

Grade 2

Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged between 7 and 9
Price – 6 of the last 12 favourites/joint favourites have won, 11/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 3 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Kinloch Brae Chase , 11/12 winners ran within the last 56 days
4/12 winners ran in the John Durkan Chase (Punchestown) on their last run, 2 of the 4 won, 1 placed
Previous Course Form – 5/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Thurles, 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Thurles
Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 5 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 10/12 had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 10/12 winners had at least 8 previous chase runs, 9/12 winners had at least 3 previous chase wins
Rating – 12/12 winners were rated 150 or higher
Graded Wins – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 7/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run
4 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Kinloch Brae Chase, 1/12 placed on their next run
3/12 winners ran in the Red Mills Chase (Gowran Park) on their next run, 0 of the 3 won, 0 placed

Rest of The Season Runs
9 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
5/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 4/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season
3/12 winners ran in the Gold Cup at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 3 won, 0 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Ryanair Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 3 won, 1 placed