Lightning Novices Chase

Grade – 2
Course – Lingfield (Since 2024)
Race Type – Chase
Distance – 2 Miles (16F)
Ages – 5yo’s +
Weights – 10st 12lbs (5yo) 11st 2lbs (6yo+) (7lbs allowance for mares)
Penalties – 3lbs for winners of a class 2 chase/class 1 handicap, 5lbs for winners of a class 1 chase
Sponsor – The Racing App

Grade 2

Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 11 winners were aged 6 or 7
Price – 7 of the last 11 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 10/11 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 6 of the last 11 winners won on their last run before the Lightning Novices Chase , 11/11 winners ran within the last 56 days
4/11 winners ran in the Wayward Lad Novices Chase (Kempton) on their last run, 2 of the 4 won, 2 placed
3/11 winners ran in the Henry VIII Novices Chase (Sandown) on their last run, 1 of the 3 won, 0 placed
Previous Course Form – 5/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Doncaster, 2/11 winners had at least 1 previous win at Doncaster
Previous Distance Form – 10/11 winners had at least 8 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 11/11 winners had at least 2 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs, 10/11 winners had at least 3 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 11/11 winners had at least 2 previous chase runs, 11/11 winners had at least 1 previous chase win, 7/11 winners had at least 2 previous chase wins
Rating – 10/11 winners were rated 145 or higher
Graded Wins – 6/11 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 11/11 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 11/11 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run
2 of the last 11 winners won on their next run after the Lightning Novices Chase, 1/11 placed on their next run

Rest of The Season Runs
7 of the last 11 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
1/11 won at least 1 more race that season, 3/11 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season
5/11 winners ran in the Arkle Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 5 won, 0 placed