Noel Novices Chase

Grade – 2
Course – Ascot
Race Type – Chase
Distance – 2 Miles 5 Furlongs (21F)
Ages – 4yo’s +
Weights – 11st 0lbs (7lbs allowance for filles & mares)
Sponsor – Howden

Grade 2

Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 11 of the last 11 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 7 of the last 11 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 11/11 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 7 of the last 11 winners won on their last run before the Noel Novices Chase, 9/11 winners ran within the last 41 days
Previous Course Form – 9/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Ascot, 5/11 winners had at least 1 previous win at Ascot
Previous Distance Form – 9/11 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 10/11 had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 9/11 winners had at least 1 previous chase run, 7/11 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Rating – 8/11 winners were rated 142 or higher
Graded Wins – 5/11 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 9/11 winners had at least 1 run that season, 7/11 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run
2 of the last 10 winners won on their next run after the Noel Novices Chase, 2/10 placed on their next run
2/10 winners ran in the Altcar Novices Chase (Haydock) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won, 1 placed
2/10 winners ran in the Dipper Novices Chase (Cheltenham) on their next run, 1 of the 2 won, 1 placed

Rest of The Season Runs
7 of the last 10 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
4/10 won at least 1 more race that season, 2/10 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season
5/10 winners ran in the Marsh Novices Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 5 won, 1 placed