November Novices Chase

Grade – 2
Course – Cheltenham
Race Type – Chase
Distance – 2 Miles (16F)
Ages – 4yo’s +
Weights – 11st 2lbs (7lbs allowance for filles & mares)
Sponsor – Racing Post

Grade 2

Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 6 of the last 12 favourites have won, 9/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 8 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the November Novices Chase , 9/12 winners ran within the last 42 days
Previous Course Form – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
Previous Distance Form – 10/12 winners had at least 4 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 9/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 9/12 winners had at least 5 runs over hurdles, 10/12 winners had at least 2 wins over hurdles
Previous Chase Form – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase run, 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Rating – 5/12 winners were rated 141 or higher (7/12 didn’t have a chase rating)
Graded Wins – 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1 race
Season Form – 9/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 7/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run
7 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the November Novices Chase, 4/12 placed on their next run
5/12 winners ran in the Henry VII Novices Chase (Sandown) on their next run, 2 of the 5 won, 2 placed

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season
7/12 winners ran in the Arkle Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 7 won, 0 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Marsh Novices Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Grand Annual at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed