Recent Form and Trends

* This race was removed from the program in 2024 but returned in 2025

Trends

Age – 9 of the last 11 winners were aged 4 or 5
Price – 4 of the last 11 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 10/11 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 7 of the last 11 winners won on their last run before the Racing Post Novice Chase, 11/11 winners ran within the last 44 days
Previous Course Form – 5/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Leopardstown, 1/11 winners had at least 1 previous win at Leopardstown
Previous Distance Form – 9/11 winners had at least 5 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 9/11 had at least 2 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 9/11 winners had at least 4 previous runs over hurdles, 11/11 winners had at least 1 previous win over hurdles
Previous Chase Form – 11/11 winners had at least 1 previous chase run, 5/11 winners had at least 2 previous chase runs, 10/11 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Rating – 3/11 winners were rated 148 or higher (8/11 didn’t have a chase rating)
Graded Wins – 7/11 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 11/11 winners had at least 1 run that season, 6/11 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 10/11 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
5 of the last 11 winners won on their next run after the Racing Post Novice Chase, 2/11 placed on their next run
9/11 winners ran in the Irish Arkle Novice Chase (Leopardstown) on their next run, 4 of the 9 won, 2 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
9 of the last 11 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
6/11 won at least 1 more race that season, 3/11 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
7/11 winners ran in the Arkle Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 7 won, 2 placed