Recent Form and Trends
Trends
Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 5 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 11/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 8 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Racing Post Novice Chase , 11/12 winners ran within the last 40 days
3/12 winners ran in the Drinmore Novice Chase (Fairyhouse) on their last run, 1 of the 3 won, 2 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Craddockstown Novice Chase (Punchestown) on their last run, 1 of the 2 won, 1 placed
Previous Course Form – 5/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Leopardstown, 1/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Leopardstown
Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 5 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 9/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 10/12 winners had at least 4 previous runs over hurdles, 7/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over hurdles
Previous Chase Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase run, 6/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase runs, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Rating – 4/12 winners were rated 148 or higher (8/12 didn’t have a chase rating)
Graded Wins – 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 6/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win that season
Future Form
Trends
Next Run –
5 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Racing Post Novice Chase, 2/12 placed on their next run
10/12 winners ran in the Irish Arkle Novice Chase (Leopardstown) on their next run, 4 of the 10 won, 2 placed
Rest of The Season Runs –
8 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
7/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 3/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season
Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
8/12 winners ran in the Arkle Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 8 won, 2 placed