Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged 6 or 7
Price – 2 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 7/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 7 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Florida Pearl Novice Chase , 10/12 winners ran within the last 28 days
Previous Course Form – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous runs at Punchestown, 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Punchestown
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 22-25 furlongs, 11/12 had at least 1 previous wins over 22-25 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 11/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over hurdles, 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over hurdles, 7/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over hurdles
Previous Chase Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase run, 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Rating – 2/12 winners were rated 140 or higher (9/12 didn’t have a chase rating yet)
Graded Wins – 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 9/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
3 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Florida Pearl Novice Chase, 4/12 placed on their next run
7/12 winners ran in the Fort Leney Novice Chase on their next run, 3 of the 7 won, 3 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Drinmore Novice Chase (Fairyhouse) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
10 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 3 more races that season
4/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 5/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
4/12 winners ran in the National Hunt Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 4 won, 0 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Brown Advisory Novices Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 1 placed