Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 7 or 8
Price – 4 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 11/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 3 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Fortria Chase , 10/12 winners ran 101 days or longer ago
2/12 winners ran in the Champion Chase (Punchestown) on their last run, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed
Previous Course Form – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Navan, 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Navan
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 6 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 11/12 had at least 3 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 10/12 winners had at least 11 previous chase runs, 10/12 winners had at least 4 previous chase wins
Rating – 11/12 winners were rated 152 or higher
Graded Wins – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race, 10/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 3/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 3/12 winners had a win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
3 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Fortria Chase, 1/12 placed on their next run
4/12 winners ran in the Hilly Way Chase (Cork) on their next run, 0 of the 4 won, 1 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Paddy Power Chase (Leopardstown) on their next run, 1 of the 3 won, 1 placed
2/12 winners ran in the John Durkan Chase (Punchestown) on their next run, 1 of the 2 won, 0 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
8 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 3 more races that season
3/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 4/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
2/12 winners ran in the Queen Mother Champion Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 2 placed