Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 8 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 11/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 8 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Hattons Grace Hurdle, 7/12 winners ran within the last 30 days
3/12 winners ran in the Lismullen Hurdle (Navan) on their last run, 3 of the 3 won, 0 placed
Previous Course Form – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Fairyhouse, 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Fairyhouse
Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 19-21 furlongs, 9/12 had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 11/12 winners had at least 6 previous runs over hurdles, 11/12 winners had at least 3 previous wins over hurdles
Rating – 11/12 winners were rated 150 or higher
Graded Wins – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1 race, 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous run that season, 5/12 winners had at least 1 previous win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
8 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Hattons Grace Hurdle, 3/12 placed on their next run
5/12 winners ran in the Christmas Hurdle (Leopardstown) on their next run, 3 of the 5 won, 1 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Irish Champion Hurdle (Leopardstown) on their next run, 3 of the 3 won, 0 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
9 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 3 more races that season
10/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 7/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
4/12 winners ran in the Champion Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 3 of the 4 won, 0 placed
4/12 winners ran in the Stayers Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 4 won, 1 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Mares Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 3 won, 1 placed