Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged between 6 and 8
Price – 4 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 9/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 2 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Lismullen Hurdle , 8/12 winners ran 154 days or longer ago
Previous Course Form – 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Navan, 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Navan
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 4 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 9/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 9/12 winners had at least 9 previous runs over hurdles, 9/12 winners had at least 3 previous wins over hurdles
Rating – 10/12 winners were rated 146 or higher
Graded Wins – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 6/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 3/12 winners had a win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
5 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Lismullen Hurdle, 1/12 placed on their next run
8/12 winners ran in the Hattons Grace Hurdle (Fairyhouse) on their next run, 4 of the 8 won, 1 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
10 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 3 more races that season
6/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 10/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
6/12 winners ran in the Stayers Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 6 won, 3 placed