John Francome Novices Chase
Grade – 2
Course – Newbury
Race Type – Chase
Distance – 2 Miles 7 1/2 Furlongs (23.5F)
Ages – 4yo’s +
Weights – 10st 7lbs (4yo’s), 11st 2lbs (5yo+), (7lbs allowance for fillies & mares)
Penalties – 4lbs for winners of a class 4 chase, 7lbs for winners of a class 1-3 chase
Sponsor – Ladbrokes
Recent Form and Trends
Trends
Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 5 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 11/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 7 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the John Francome Novices Chase, 10/12 winners ran within the last 40 days
Previous Course Form – 5/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Newbury, 3/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Newbury
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 23-25 furlongs, 10/12 had at least 1 previous win over 23-25 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase run, 5/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Graded Wins – 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 10/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 5/12 winners had at least 1 win that season
Future Form
Trends
Next Run –
5 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the John Francome Novice Chase, 2/12 placed on their next run
8/12 winners ran in the Kauto Star Novices Chase (Kempton) (Formerly Feltham Novices Chase) on their next run, 1 of the 8 won, 2 placed
Rest of The Season Runs –
12 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
9/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 7/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season
Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
6/12 winners ran in the Brown Advisory Novices Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 6 won, 3 placed
2/12 winners ran in the National Hunt Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 2 placed