Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged 7 or 8
Price – 8 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 10/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 10 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Killiney Novice Chase , 10/12 winners had their last run within 49 days
Previous Course Form – 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Punchestown, 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Punchestown
Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 7/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 11/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over hurdles, 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over hurdles
Previous Chase Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase run, 7/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase runs, 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Graded Wins – 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 7/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
7 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Killiney Novice Chase, 2/12 placed on their next run
3/12 winners ran in the Flogas Novice Chase (Leopardstown) on their next run, 0 of the 3 won, 2 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
9 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
6/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 3/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
8/12 winners ran in the Turners Novices Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 4 of the 8 won, 0 placed