Recent Form and Trends

* The race distance was changed from 2m2f to 2m5f in 2025

Trends

Age – 8 of the last 10 winners were aged 6 or 7
Price – 3 of the last 10 winners were favourites, 5/10 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 4 of the last 10 winners won on their last run before the Pierce Molony Novice Chase, 8/10 winners ran within the last 42 days
Previous Course Form – 2/10 winners had at least 1 previous run at Thurles, 2/10 winners had at least 1 previous win at Thurles
Previous Distance Form – 8/10 winners had at least 2 previous runs over the distance, 7/10 had at least 1 previous win over the distance
Previous Chase Form – 7/10 winners had at least 3 previous chase runs, 9/10 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Rating – 7/10 winners were rated 131 or higher
Graded Wins – 1/10 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 9/10 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 9/10 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
2 of the last 9 winners won on their next run after the Pierce Molony Novice Chase, 1/9 placed on their next run
3/9 winners ran in the Gold Cup Novice Chase (Fairyhouse) on their next run, 1 of the 3 won, 0 placed
2/9 winners ran in the Ryanair Novice Chase (Punchestown) on their next run, 1 of the 2 won, 0 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
8 of the last 9 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
2/9 won at least 1 more race that season, 1/9 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run Next Season –
1/9 winners ran in the Champion Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 1 won, 0 placed
1/9 winners ran in the Ryanair Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 1 won, 0 placed