Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 8 of the last 12 winners were aged between 6 and 8
Price – 8 of the last 12 favourites/joint favourites have won, 12/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 9 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Ballybrit Novice Chase , 11/12 winners ran within the last 65 days
Previous Course Form – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Galway, 3/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Galway
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 6 previous runs over 16-18 furlongs, 8/12 had at least 3 previous wins over 16-18 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 11/12 winners had at least 6 previous runs over hurdles, 10/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over hurdles
Previous Chase Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase run, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Rating – 2/12 winners were rated 135 or higher (10/12 didn’t have a chase rating yet)
Graded Wins – 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 8/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
3 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Ballybrit Novice Chase, 4/12 placed on their next run
2/12 winners ran in the Craddockstown Novice Chase (Punchestown) on their next run, 1 of the 2 won, 0 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Kilbegnet Novice Chase (Roscommon) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Buck House Novice Chase (Punchestown) on their next run, 1 of the 2 won, 1 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
9 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
5/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 7/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
1/12 winners ran in the National Hunt Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 1 won, 0 placed
1/12 winners ran in the Grand Annual at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 1 won, 1 placed