Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged between 5 and 7
Price – 6 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 11/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 8 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Rising Stars Novices Hurdle , 11/12 winners ran within the last 30 days
Previous Course Form – 3/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Wincanton, 1/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Wincanton
Previous Distance Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 11/12 had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 11/12 winners had at least 6 runs over hurdles, 11/12 winners had at least 2 wins over hurdles
Previous Chase Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase run, 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Rating – 9/12 winners were rated 138 or higher (3/12 didn’t have a chase rating)
Graded Wins – 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 10/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
2 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Rising Stars Novices Chase, 2/12 placed on their next run
2/12 winners ran in the Worcester Novices Chase (Newbury) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won, 1 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
11 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
8/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 6/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
6/12 winners ran at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 6 won, 2 placed
4/12 winners ran in the Marsh Novices Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 4 won, 1 placed
2/12 winners ran in the RSA Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 1 placed