AINTREE FESTIVAL
Day 1 | Day 2 | Day 3
Anniversary 4-Y-O Novices Hurdle | Manifesto Novices Chase | Aintree Bowl | Hunters Chase | Aintree Hurdle | Red Rum Handicap Chase | Nickel Coin Mares NH Flat Race
Manifesto Novices Chase
Grade – 1
Course – Aintree
Race Type – Chase
Distance – 2 Miles 4 Furlongs (20F)
Ages – 5yo+
Weights – 11st 7lbs (7lb allowance for mares)
Sponsor – William Hill
Manifesto Novices Chase
Grade – 1
Course – Aintree
Race Type – Chase
Distance – 2 Miles 4 Furlongs (20F)
Ages – 5yo+
Weights – 11st 7lbs (7lb allowance for mares)
Sponsor – William Hill
Recent Form and Trends
* The 2020 race was abandoned for health and safety reasons
Trends
Age – 10 of the last 11 winners were aged 6-8
Price – 0 of the last 11 winners were favourites, 9/11 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 0 of the last 11 winners won on their last run before Aintree, 11/11 winners ran within the last 68 days
3/11 winners ran in the Arkle Novice Chase (Cheltenham) on their last run, 0 of the 3 won, 1 placed
2/11 winners ran in the Golden Miller Novices Chase (Cheltenham) on their last run, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed
Previous Course Form – 7/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Aintree , 2/11 winners had a previous win at Aintree
Previous Distance Form – 9/11 winners had at least 1 previous run over 19-21 furlongs, 7/11 had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 11/11 winners had at least 4 previous runs over hurdles, 9/11 winners had at least 2 wins over hurdles
Previous Chase Form – 10/11 winners had at least 4 previous chase runs, 9/11 winners had at least 2 previous chase wins
Rating – 9/11 winners were rated 150 or higher
Graded Wins – 7/11 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 10/11 winners had at least 4 runs that season, 9/11 winners had at least 2 wins that season
Runners
The list of runners will be updated at the 48 hour declaration stage, once the final field is known.
Note: This trends list highlights horses with the typical profile of a winner for this race and can be used as a guide to potential contenders. However, keep in mind that past performance is no guarantee, and every trend is subject to being broken.
Future Form
Trends
Next Run –
2 of the last 11 winners won on their next run after Aintree, 2/11 placed on their next run
3/11 winners ran in the Champion Novice Chase (Punchestown) on their next run, 0 of the 3 won, 0 placed
2/11 winners ran in the Old Roan Chase (Aintree) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won, 1 placed
Rest of The Season Runs –
5 of the last 11 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
1/11 won at least 1 more race that season, 0/11 placed in at least 1 more race that season
Next Aintree Festival Run –
4/11 winners ran at the next Aintree Festival, 0 of the 4 won, 0 placed
2/4 ran in the Melling Chase at the next Aintree Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 1 placed
1/4 ran in the Bowl Chase at the next Aintree Festival, 0 of the 1 won, 0 placed